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indonesian agriculture
implications of import regulations for Australian agricultural exports
russell bond spacer david barrett spacer jammie penm
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spacerWhile tariffs on many agricultural imports are low in Indonesia, import regulations are in place that either prohibit the import of some products or increase the cost of exporting to Indonesia.

spacerSustained economic growth and industrialisation in Indonesia have led to an increase in competition for domestic resources and a decline in the contribution of agriculture to gross domestic product. If Indonesia’s import regulations were reformed, market access for imports would improve, as would the availability of food varieties for domestic consumers.

spacerBecause of its geographic proximity, Australia is well placed to provide benefits to both Indonesia and Australia from advancing bilateral agricultural trade.


economic growth and agriculture’s role in the economy

Indonesia has emerged as a growing and important market for Australian agricultural commodities. In 2005, Australia was the leading agricultural exporting country to Indonesia, supplying just over US$1 billion of agricultural commodities.

Economic growth and industrialisation in Indonesia have led to an increase in competition for domestic resources. As in many other developing countries in Asia, this has resulted in a reduction in the contribution of agriculture to gross domestic product. Agriculture’s share of Indonesia’s economy declined from around 49 per cent in 1970 to just over 13 per cent in 2005.

Sustained income growth in Indonesia has resulted in a significant increase in food demand. For the most important staple food — rice — there have been restrictive import controls in place since 2004 (imports are permitted on an ad hoc and as needed basis — for example, during extreme circumstances such as drought). The growth in domestic rice production has slowed since the mid-1990s, as the availability of arable land has become a constraint and productivity growth has slowed. As a result, there has been a gradual increase in imports of other staples, such as wheat, to meet increasing domestic food consumption.

Growth in per person income has also led to an increase in demand for other food products, especially vegetables, fruit, sugar, beef, dairy products, poultry and seafood. While Indonesia is largely self sufficient in fruit, poultry and seafood, imports have become an increasingly important source of vegetables, sugar, beef and dairy products.

Indonesia’s government has pursued policies that promote agricultural production and provide protection to farmers. The measures used to protect the agriculture sector include both tariff and nontariff barriers, especially import regulations, and have resulted in some domestic price for agricultural products being well above prevailing international prices. In recent years, Indonesia has pursued regional trade agreements as a strategy for gradually reducing protection and increasing access to the markets of trading partners. Indonesia is currently a member of the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (FTA), China–ASEAN FTA and Korea–ASEAN 9 FTA, with several others under negotiation. A Japan–Indonesia Economic Partnership Agreement was finalised in August 2007.

Indonesia’s continued high economic growth and industrialisation is likely to place considerable pressure on its policy of achieving food self sufficiency. With competitive pressure for resources from nonagriculture sectors, there is likely to be limited capacity to increase agricultural production. In broad terms, freer trade practices in Indonesia could lead to cheaper domestic prices for agricultural products and more efficient allocation of domestic resources to sustain high economic growth.


Indonesia’s food production

agricultural policies aim to achieve self sufficiency
Over the 1980s and the early 1990s, agricultural production in Indonesia was stimulated through the subsidisation of key inputs and as the land devoted to agricultural production increased. Commodity prices were maintained at artificially high levels through the state owned enterprise, Bulog, which operated a buffer stock scheme and was the sole importer of rice, wheat and other agricultural commodities. Consequently, high self sufficiency for rice and sugar was achieved for most of this period.
As a condition of the IMF’s support package during the financial downturn of 1997-98, Bulog’s import rights over all products except rice were rescinded. However, while the sugar market was liberalised for a time, it has been heavily re-regulated since 2002. Import regulations remain an important feature of Indonesia’s self sufficiency policy.

declining agricultural productivity
Agricultural production in Indonesia, in volume terms, grew by 4 per cent a year between 1968 and 1992. Since then, however, growth has slowed to an average rate of 1 per cent a year. Over the period 1968–92, growth in agricultural productivity is estimated to have averaged 2.6 per cent a year. Between 1992 and 2000, however, productivity contracted by an average 0.1 per cent a year (Fuglie 2004).

A number of factors contributed to the decline in productivity in the latter period. First, there were significant declines in both research and development and infrastructure expenditure for agriculture. Second, government subsidies on farm inputs, such as fertilisers and pesticides, were significantly reduced, especially in the period after the Asian financial downturn. Third, industrialisation and urbanisation led to increased competition for land and forced agricultural production onto marginal land. Fourth, lack of economies of scale proved to be a barrier for agricultural productivity. Around 75 per cent of farms in Indonesia are still less than one hectare in size (Suryhadi et al. 2006).

rice is the most important staple
Rice is by far the most important agricultural commodity in Indonesia. In 2005, rice made up around 23 per cent of total agricultural output in volume terms. Cassava and maize are the other two principal food crops in Indonesia, accounting for a further 13 per cent of total agricultural output in volume terms. Other important agricultural products include sugar cane, palm oil and rubber, with a total share of 19 per cent. Livestock products account for about 5 per cent of agricultural output in volume terms, with poultry being the largest component.

Rice production rose relatively rapidly before the mid-1990s (figure A; FAO 2007). Since then, rice production has increased more slowly. This slowdown mainly reflects the limited availability of land and slow growth in yields. In line with the decline in total agricultural productivity, productivity in the rice industry declined by an average of 0.2 per cent a year over the period 1998–2001 (Indonesian Commercial Newsletter 2002).

maize production is increasing … on marginal lands
Maize production increased gradually over the 1980s and early 1990s before slowing in the latter half of the 1990s. Production of maize was affected by the Asian financial downturn as the demand for feed from the poultry industry declined. Production remained relatively stable during the early 2000s but has been increasing since 2003.

The majority of maize is grown on small, unirrigated farms with poor soil fertility and low productivity. Maize is grown largely on marginal land because of government support for rice. The support for rice production has increased competition for land, and expanding rice production has pushed the production of secondary crops, including maize, to less productive areas (Swastika 2004).

sugar production supported by self sufficiency goal
Indonesia’s sugar industry has been supported under the goal of self sufficiency. Land devoted to sugar production increased in the 1970s and the early 1980s, resulting in an increase in production (figure B; Ministry of Agriculture 2006). The majority of the rise in production was the result of an increasing number of small farms growing sugar cane.

Approximately 60 per cent of Indonesia’s sugar production occurs on the island of Java. Issues facing Indonesia’s sugar industry, particularly in Java, include:

spacer around 40 per cent of sugar cane in Java is grown on wet land, where planting and cultivating cane is difficult, keeping yields low

spacerthe average size of sugar cane farms in Java is less than half a hectare, limiting economies of scale

spacermanagement practices on farms are inefficient, resulting in low productivity (Stapleton 2006) — for example, in Java, sugar cane is harvested up to twelve times before replanting, while in major sugar producing countries, it is harvested only up to four or five times

spacersugar mills are small and use outdated technology, resulting in inefficiencies.

growth in poultry production leads to higher feed demand
Poultry is the major livestock industry in Indonesia. Output increased rapidly from the 1960s to the mid-1990s. However, the industry was severely affected by the Asian financial downturn in 1997-98, as consumers switched from poultry products to cheaper sources of protein, such as tempeh and tofu (Hartono 1999). Since then, poultry output has resumed rapid growth, although outbreaks of avian influenza have the potential to adversely affect the industry.

Maize is the principal feed used in poultry production in Indonesia. Between 1971 and 2001, consumption of maize increased by an average of 6.4 per cent a year (Swastika 2004). The strong performance of the poultry industry has translated into significant growth in the consumption of maize.


food consumption in Indonesia

food consumption rising in response to income and population growth
Apart from a period in the mid-1980s and during the Asian financial downturn, Indonesia has achieved impressive economic growth since the 1970s. On average, economic growth was around 6 per cent a year between 1970 and 2005.

In response to rising incomes and the influence of western style foods, Indonesian diets have been changing. While rice, vegetables and seafood remain staples, consumers have moved toward a wider variety of foods. In particular, there have been increases in consumption of wheat based products, fruit and livestock products, including beef and dairy products.

In Indonesia, consumption of rice per person declined between 1990 and 2005 (figure C; FAO 2007). This is in contrast to the increase in consumption of many other food products, including seafood, beef, poultry, fruit and vegetables. As a result, the contribution of rice to per person daily calorie intake declined from 55 per cent in 1990 to 48 per cent in 2005.

Between 1990 and 2005, wheat consumption per person nearly doubled, from just over 9 kilograms in 1990 to 18 kilograms in 2005. A large part of this growth occurred before the onset of the Asian financial downturn in 1997-98.

As a major protein source, poultry meat is widely consumed in Indonesia (figure D; FAO 2007). Between 1990 and 2005, poultry meat consumption per person more than doubled, from 3 kilograms to around 6 kilograms. Consumption of bovine meat also increased over the same period, from 1.6 kilograms to 2.4 kilograms per person. Mutton and goat meat consumption rose marginally, while consumption of pig meat fell.

In general, changes in the pattern of food consumption in Indonesia have been consistent with the trends observed in many developing countries experiencing rapid growth, especially in Asia. As per person income rises, consumption of starchy staples tends to decline, whereas consumption of livestock products and seafood increases gradually (Mitchell, Ingco and Duncan 1997; Lee and Kennedy 2006).

 

Indonesia’s imports of agricultural products
In the 1980s, when agricultural production in Indonesia increased significantly, self sufficiency was achieved in rice and sugar, and imports of many agricultural products were relatively low. Since the early 1990s, lower growth of agricultural production and higher domestic demand have resulted in an increase in imports.

By 2005, Indonesia’s annual imports of wheat, sugar and cotton were around US$800 million, US$570 million and US$575 million respectively (figure E; UN Statistical Division 2007). Wheat imports, in value terms, accounted for 14 per cent of Indonesia’s total agricultural imports. Over the period 1995–2005, the real value of dairy and sugar imports almost doubled. In contrast, rice imports were reduced significantly, reflecting Indonesia’s restrictive import policy.

Australia and the United States are the major suppliers to Indonesia
Australia, with its geographic proximity and efficient production systems, is the largest supplier of agricultural commodities to Indonesia (figure F; UN Statistical Division 2007). Major imports from Australia include wheat, live cattle, dairy products, cotton, sugar and fruit.

The United States is Indonesia’s second largest source of agricultural imports, with imports valued at around US$850 million in 2005 (around 15 per cent of Indonesia’s total agricultural imports). Major agricultural imports from the United States include cotton, soybean products, animal feed, dairy products and vegetables.

Thailand is a major supplier of rice and fruit to Indonesia, accounting for around 9 per cent of Indonesia’s agricultural imports. China supplies around 6 per cent of Indonesia’s agricultural imports, and is the major supplier of fruit and vegetables.

Australia’s principal exports to Indonesia

wheat
Australia is the major supplier of wheat to Indonesia. In 2005, Indonesia imported around 2.4 million tonnes of wheat from Australia, valued at US$445 million and accounting for 56 per cent of the value of Indonesia’s wheat imports (tables 1 and 2). Canada is Australia’s main competitor in the Indonesian market, with Indonesia’s imports of wheat from Canada valued at US$165 million in 2005.

Australia’s exports of wheat to Indonesia have grown significantly over recent years, with the volume almost doubling between 1995 and 2005 (table 1). Indonesia does not produce wheat domestically because climatic conditions are unsuited to growing wheat.

1 Australian exports to Indonesia
selected commodities
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1995
2005
kt
kt
wheat
1 228
2 440
sugar
40
270
cotton
82
137
live animals
89
95
dairy
23
65
fruits
26
17
vegetables
10
16
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Source: UN Statistical Division (2007).

Given economic and population growth in Indonesia, it is likely that Indonesia’s wheat imports, by volume, will continue to increase. In particular, imports from Australia are expected to remain an important component of Indonesian wheat consumption. Australian wheat is considered to be of better colour than wheat from other countries for the production of noodles, which gives Australian wheat a competitive advantage over wheat from other sources (Landline 2003).

cotton
Australia is the second largest supplier of cotton to Indonesia (behind the United States). In 2005, Indonesian imports of Australian cotton were valued at around US$122 million. This compares with cotton imports of around US$225 million from the United States. Because of its relatively cheap labour, Indonesia is the world’s ninth largest exporter of clothes and textiles and the largest in south east Asia.
The outlook for Australian cotton exports to Indonesia depends on the performance of the Indonesian textile industry. On world markets, Indonesia is facing increasing competition from China, the world’s largest textile exporter.

live animals and processed meat
Australia is the major supplier of live animals (mostly live cattle) to Indonesia. In 2005, Indonesia imported live cattle from Australia valued at US$110 million. Australia’s position as the dominant supplier of live cattle largely reflects its proximity to Indonesia, the ability of Australian cattle to acclimatise to tropical conditions in Indonesia, and Australia’s disease free status. Indonesian demand for cattle from Australia has also been enhanced by Indonesia’s restrictions on cheaper frozen buffalo meat from India and frozen beef from Brazil, to avoid any risk of an incursion of foot and mouth disease (Martin, Mellor and Hooper 2007).

Indonesia’s trade in live cattle has been driven by the need to ensure supplies of fresh meat in regional areas where refrigeration is limited (Martin et al. 2007). Indonesia imports a relatively small amount of beef compared with its live animal imports. Australia is the second largest supplier of beef to Indonesia (behind New Zealand). In 2005, imports from Australia were valued at around US$19 million, accounting for around 44 per cent of Indonesia’s total beef imports.

dairy products
Indonesia produces a relatively small amount of milk, around 635 000 tonnes a year. This compares with annual production of over 10 million tonnes each in Australia and New Zealand.

Indonesia is 35 per cent self sufficient in milk and dairy products and relies on imports to meet its domestic consumption. Australia is the largest supplier of dairy products to Indonesia (valued at around US$126 million in 2005), followed by New Zealand (US$107 million) and the European Union (US$102 million). Australia’s main dairy product exports to Indonesia are skim milk powder and whole milk powder, and then cheese, whey and butter.

Given the current low consumption of milk and dairy products in Indonesia relative to other Asian countries, there is potential for further increases in consumption and higher imports over the longer term.

2 agricultural imports, by source
Indonesia, in 2005 US dollars
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1995
2005
market share 2005
US$m
US$m
%
total agricultural
  imports
6 392
5 575
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wheat
Australia
309
445
56
Canada
238
165
21
Argentina
130
74
9
Ukraine
na
58
7
UnitedStates
161
25
3
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cotton
UnitedStates
520
225
39
Australia
248
122
21
Brazil
14
51
9
SouthAfrica
na
14
2
Pakistan
29
12
2
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dairy
Australia
56
126
24
NewZealand
52
107
21
EuropeanUnion
116
102
20
UnitedStates
15
62
12
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oilseeds
UnitedStates
155
256
73
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sugar
Thailand
150
324
55
Australia
21
74
13
SouthAfrica
na
32
5
Philippines
na
13
2
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fruit
China
16
99
46
UnitedStates
37
39
18
Thailand
6
34
15
Australia
27
12
6
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livecattle
Australia
143
110
100
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beefmeat
NewZealand
10
23
53
Australia
7
19
44
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vegetables
China
90
72
33
Myanmar
21
7
3
Australia
7
7
3
Philippines
6
6
3
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rice
Thailand
239
32
64
VietNam
112
12
24
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na Not available. Source: UN Statistical Division (2007).

sugar
Australia is the second largest supplier of sugar to Indonesia (behind Thailand). In 2005, Indonesia imported US$324 million worth of sugar from Thailand and US$74 million from Australia. Imports from both countries have increased in recent years as a result of growing sugar consumption in Indonesia. Indonesia imported almost 2 million tonnes of raw sugar in 2005, compared with imports of over 500 000 tonnes in 1995 (UN Statistical Database 2007b).

Without substantial improvements in the productivity of Indonesia’s sugar industry, import demand for sugar in Indonesia is likely to continue to rise.

fruit and vegetables
China is the largest supplier of fruit and vegetables to Indonesia. Some ASEAN countries, including Thailand and Myanmar, are also prominent exporters. Australia is a major supplier of fruit, including citrus, apples, pears and grapes, and vegetables, including potatoes and onions, to Indonesia. In 2005, Australia exported a total of around 33 000 tonnes of fruit and vegetables to Indonesia. Imports of Australian fruit and vegetables tend to supply the top end of the Indonesian market, such as hotels and restaurants. Australia is in a good position to benefit from opportunities that may arise from Indonesia’s growing tourist industry (Austrade 2007).

trade policy in Indonesia
The tariffs reported in this section refer to bound and applied tariffs. ‘Bound’ (or ‘most favoured nation’) tariffs are commitments made by World Trade Organisation members and are the maximum allowable tariffs that a member country may levy on imports. ‘Applied’ tariffs are the actual levy used.

tariffs on agricultural imports
The most common bound tariff on agricultural imports is 40 per cent but bound tariffs range from 27 per cent to 210 per cent (table 3). The highest bound tariff of 210 per cent is on imports of milk and cream in solid form, buttermilk and fats and oils derived from milk. Imports of milled rice fetch a bound tariff of 160 per cent, while that for sugar is 95 per cent. The bound tariff for fresh or frozen meat of bovine animals, frozen cuts of sheep, fresh or dried oranges and mandarins, and fresh or chilled potatoes is 50 per cent.

Applied tariffs are generally lower than bound tariffs and the most common level is 5 per cent except for imports of certain fruit and vegetables, which are subject to a 25 per cent tariff. Rice imports, when permitted, are taxed at 450 rupiah a kilogram, equivalent to a 30 per cent ad valorem tariff rate (USTR 2007). Similarly, imports of raw cane sugar are taxed at 550 rupiah a kilogram, and white and industrial grade sugar at 790 rupiah a kilogram. Stapleton (2006) estimates the equivalent ad valorem tariff rate of the specific tariffs for sugar to range from 30 to 35 per cent.

3 bound and applied tariffs
Indonesia (percentages unless otherwise stated)
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bound
applied
%
%
cereals
wheat (excludes meslin)
27
0
rice
160
Rp 450/kg
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cotton
cotton neither carded nor combed
27
0
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live animals
live bovine animals (excludes buffaloes)
40
0
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dairy products
milk and cream
 – not concentrated or sweetened
40
5
 – concentrated or sweetened a
210
5
yogurt
40
10
buttermilk
210
5
butter
40
5
fats and oils derived from milk
210
5
cheese
40
5
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natural honey
40
5
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wheat flour
27
5
spacer
malt (excludes roasted)
40
5
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meat of bovine animals
fresh of chilled bovine meat, boneless
50
5
frozen meat of bovine animals, boneless
50
5
frozen edible bovine offals
40
5
spacer
sheep
frozen cuts of sheep
50
5
spacer
sugar
raw cane sugar
95
Rp 550/kg
industrial grade and white sugar
95
Rp 790/kg
spacer
citrus fruit fresh or dried
oranges
50
5
mandarins b
50
25
lemons
40
5
spacer
 fresh fruit
grapes
40
5
apples
50
5
pears and quinces
40
5
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vegetables, dried leguminous
fresh or chilled potatoes b
50
25
fresh or chilled onions
40
5
fresh or chilled shallots b
40
25
dried, shelled broad beans
40
5
spacer
fruit juices
orange juice
60
5 or 10
apple juice
40
5 or 10
spacer
a Milk and cream concentrated, other products are subject to a tariff of 10 per cent. b 25 per cent tariffs on horticultural products to be cut to 10 per cent in 2010.
Sources: Ministry of Finance (2006); WTO (2006).

import regulations can affect Australia’s agricultural exports
While tariffs on many agricultural imports are low, import regulations are in place for some commodities that either prohibit the import of some products or increase the cost of exporting to Indonesia. The majority of these regulations are claimed to be required to maintain health and environmental standards. There is often uncertainty over the specific import requirements for some products or inconsistency with their application throughout Indonesia.


Indonesia’s tariff and import regulations on agricultural products

wheat
Wheat imports in Indonesia have been deregulated. Bulog ceased to be the sole wheat importer after the Asian financial downturn. Bogasari flour mills have become the largest importer, producing around 75 per cent of Indonesia’s wheat flour requirements. Durum and regular wheat are not subject to a tariff, while meslin (a mixture of wheat and other grains) is subject to a 5 per cent tariff. Wheat and meslin flour are both subject to a 5 per cent tariff.

cotton
Cotton imports are not subject to trade regulations because of the importance of cotton as an input into the textile and garment manufacturing industry. Indonesia is considering a proposal that requires all imports containing genetically modified products to be labelled. This requirement is yet to be implemented (ASEAN 2007). This development may be of relevance to Australian cotton because 80 per cent of cotton grown in Australia is of GM varieties. At this stage, it is unclear whether this labelling requirement will have any impact on Australian cotton exports to Indonesia.

live animals and processed meat
There is no tariff on imports of live animals, and the tariff on processed meat products is 5 per cent. A variety of meat offal products are prohibited imports into Indonesia. There has been considerable uncertainty over Indonesia’s approach to developing and implementing these regulations. It is expected that such a policy would be supported by a scientific risk assessment, and that the same requirements would be applied to offals produced domestically.

Processed meat products are also subject to trade regulations. Importers of meat products must obtain a ‘letter of recommendation’ from Indonesia’s government.

Indonesian customs officials use a schedule of arbitrary ‘check prices’ rather than the actual transaction price of imported food products when assessing tariffs. The practice of check prices aims to control illegal behaviour such as dumping inferior goods and to minimise underinvoicing, whereby local importers deliberately underreport the value of imports to evade a portion of ad valorem taxes. However, there is little transparency on how check prices are determined. Check prices are sometimes well above the prevailing international prices (USTR 2007).

dairy products
Despite the very high bound tariff rates on dairy products, applied rates on most products are 5 per cent. The exceptions include some processed products, such as yogurt, and some concentrated milk and cream, which are subject to a higher applied tariff of 10 per cent. Dairy imports face a number of regulations in Indonesia. Finished milk products can only be imported by companies appointed by Indonesia’s government.

All dairy products imported by Indonesia must have their label pre-approved. This requirement is applied to both consumer packs and bulk products for further processing. It results in additional administrative requirements, increased costs and reduced flexibility for bulk products that may ultimately be destined for a variety of uses. Indonesia also requires that all imports of dairy products be accompanied by original halal certificates, a requirement that could affect exporters’ ability to ship products to Indonesia.

Imports of dairy products, like all food imports, are tested by the Agency for Drug and Food Control (Badan Pengawas Obat dan Makanan), a process that is reported to be complex, time consuming and costly (USTR 2007). Tests require foreign suppliers to provide detailed information on ingredients and processing that may infringe on proprietary business information. The testing fees are expensive, ranging from US$120 to US$1200 per product, and are borne by foreign food suppliers.

sugar
Apart from high tariffs, sugar imports are also regulated by import licensing requirements, which act as an implicit import barrier.

In 2002, the Indonesian Ministry of Industry and Trade implemented an import licensing scheme that limited imports of industrial grade sugar and white sugar. Under the scheme, licences for imports of white sugar were reallocated from 800 private importers to five importers. Three of them are state owned sugar plantations and mills, which account for more than 60 per cent of domestic white sugar production. The remaining two importers are state owned trading firms (Stapleton 2006). With their exclusive licences, these institutions can import sugar at low prices and sell it at higher prices in the domestic market.

Sugar import licences are not tradable or transferable, thereby preventing potential sugar importers from participating in the market. Allocating nontransferable licences to state owned enterprises provides them with exclusive import rights, and protects them from competition from other sugar trading institutions.

In addition, the Ministry of Industry and Trade allows sugar imports for only a four month period outside Indonesia’s milling season, provided that the Indonesian Sugar Council considers domestic production as inadequate (Stapleton 2006).

fruit and vegetables
Applied tariffs on fruit and vegetables are generally 5 per cent, with some exceptions. Mangoes and mandarins are subject to a 25 per cent tariff, while shallots and potatoes face a 25 per cent tariff. For fruit and vegetables from ASEAN countries and China, however, there are few tariffs because of the preferential tariff agreements among these countries. Such arrangements have promoted a strong presence of fruit and vegetables from ASEAN countries and China in Indonesia (ASEAN 2007).

In April 2007, Indonesia proposed regulations for food safety control for fresh foods of plant origin including fruits, vegetables and grains. The proposed regulations, if implemented, would result in excessive requirements for testing and certification of all plant products.

Indonesia’s involvement in free trade agreements
Indonesia, through its membership of ASEAN, is party to a number of free trade agreements, such as the ASEAN FTA, China–ASEAN FTA, Korea–ASEAN 9 FTA as well as the Japan–ASEAN, India–ASEAN, Australia–New Zealand–ASEAN and EU–ASEAN FTAs that are currently under negotiation. In August 2007, Indonesia also finalised an Economic Partnership Agreement with Japan (table 4).

Agreements between countries that reduce the trade barriers faced by agricultural products assist agricultural exporters in those countries. The lower tariff and nontariff barriers that certain agricultural exports from ASEAN nations and China face because of agreements with Indonesia put products from these countries at an advantage compared with products from countries without such agreements. As noted above, talks have commenced on an Australia–New Zealand–ASEAN FTA. Australia, as the largest exporter of agricultural products to Indonesia, can be expected to gain from such an agreement; however, the size of the gain will depend on how comprehensive the elimination of trade barriers is by those involved.

benefits of agricultural trade reforms in Indonesia
Indonesia’s economy has been growing strongly since the Asian financial downturn in 1997-98 and more resources have been shifted from agriculture to manufacturing and services. With continued income and population growth, food demand in Indonesia, especially demand for wheat based and livestock products, sugar, fruit and vegetables, is expected to increase accordingly. Higher and cheaper food imports will play a crucial role in meeting this increase in domestic consumption in Indonesia.

Australia can play an important role in meeting Indonesia’s food demand. However, some import regulations in Indonesia impose an additional burden on Australian suppliers. Reforms to import regulations in Indonesia would lead to greater market access for Australian agricultural exports and increased availability of food varieties to Indonesian consumers. Under this scenario, domestic resources in Indonesia could be used more efficiently elsewhere in the economy to sustain high economic growth. Agricultural trade reforms would also encourage farmers to increase productivity and/or diversify into other more profitable activities.

4 free trade agreements involving Indonesia
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agreement
implemented
details
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ASEAN
1992
The six most developed ASEAN members (Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and Singapore) to cut all tariffs to 0–5 per cent except for highly sensitive products by 2003. Same tariff cuts for Viet Nam by 2006, Laos and Myanmar by 2008 and Cambodia by 2010. Nontariff barriers to be reduced.
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China–ASEAN
2004
Tariffs on 600 agricultural products cut to zero in 2004. By 2010, tariffs on over 7000 commodities, including agricultural, merchandise and services, to be removed by the six most developed ASEAN members. Less developed members have until 2015. Nontariff barriers to be reduced.
spacer
Korea–ASEAN 9
2007
Agreement covers merchandise, services and investment. Thailand rejected agreement because of lack of agricultural liberalisation.
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Japan–ASEAN
Agreement on trade in goods expected to be finalised in late 2007
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Japan–Indonesia
2008
Economic Partnership Agreement finalised in August 2007.
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India–ASEAN
Talks have been stalled since 2006, with agriculture the main sticking point.
spacer
EU–ASEAN
under negotiation
Talks commenced in 2007.
spacer
Australia–New Zealand–ASEAN
under negotiation
Talks commenced in 2005. Expected that the agreement will be fully implemented by 2015.

 

references
ASEAN 2007, Non Tariff Measures Database, Jakarta (aseansec.org/16355.htm).
Austrade 2007, Agribusiness to Indonesia, Canberra (austrade.gov.au/Agribusiness-to-Indonesia/default.aspx).
FAO (Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations) 2007, FAOStat Database, Rome (http://faostat.fao.org/default.aspx).
Fuglie, K.O. 2004, ‘Productivity growth in Indonesian agriculture: 1961–2000’, Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, vol. 40, no. 2, pp. 209–25.
Hartono, H.S. 1999, ‘Indonesia oilseeds and products: soybeans and products update 1999’, GAIN report no. ID9072, US Department of Agriculture, Washington DC.
Indonesian Commercial Newsletter 2002, ‘Dependency of rice imports likely to continue’, Indonesian Commercial Newsletter, vol. 29, issue 334.
Landline 2003, ‘Indonesia welcomes Australia’s bumper wheat harvest’, Australian Broadcasting Corporation (abc.net.au/landline/stories/s1001471.htm).
Lee, D.S. and Kennedy, P.L. 2006, ‘A political economic analysis of US rice export programs to Japan and South Korea: a game theoretic approach’, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 88, no. 2, pp. 420–31.
Martin, P., Mellor, T.V. and Hooper, S. 2007, Live Cattle Export Trade: Importance to Northern and Southern Beef Industries, ABARE, Canberra.

Mitchell, D.O., Ingco, M. and Duncan, R. 1997, The World Food Outlook, Cambridge University Press, Massachusetts.
Ministry of Agriculture 2006, Indonesia, Estate Crops Commodities Outlook, Jakarta.
Ministry of Finance 2006, Indonesia, Indonesian Customs Tariff Book 2007, Jakarta.
Stapleton, T. 2006, ‘Institutional arrangements of Indonesia’s sugar trade policy’, Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, vol. 42, no. 1, pp. 95–103.
Suryhadi, A., Suryadarma, D., Sumarto, S. and Molyneaux, J. 2006, Agricultural Demand Linkages and Growth Multiplier in Rural Indonesia, SMERU Working Paper, SMERU Research Institute, Jakarta.
Swastika, D. 2004, ‘Developing maize for improving poor farmers’ income in Indonesia’, CGPRT Flash, vol. 2, no. 4, p. 1.
United Nations Statistical Division 2007, UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database (UN Comtrade), New York (comtrade.un.org/db/default.aspx).
USTR (United States Trade Representative) 2007, ‘Indonesia’, 2007 National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers, Washington DC, pp. 285–96.
WTO (World Trade Organisation) 2006, Consolidated Tariff Schedule Database, Geneva.
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